{"id":2306,"date":"2026-05-17T23:25:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-17T22:25:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/?p=2306"},"modified":"2026-05-17T23:57:44","modified_gmt":"2026-05-17T22:57:44","slug":"analisi-tecnica-grafico-settimanale-sp500-chart-of-the-week-20-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/it\/analisi-tecnica-grafico-settimanale-sp500-chart-of-the-week-20-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart of the week: S&#038;P500 index"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L&#8217;S&amp;P 500 torna Chart of the Week per la terza volta in cinque settimane. Nel <a href=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/it\/analisi-tecnica-grafico-settimanale-sp500-chart-of-the-week-18-26\/\">COTW della settimana 18<\/a> il mercato era a un bivio con il sistema Short in perdita di circa 65 punti e l&#8217;overestensione sulla MA200W al 34,94%. Nel <a href=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/it\/analisi-tecnica-settimanale-eurostoxx50-sp500-nikkei-dax-charts-flash-settimana-19-26\/\">Charts Flash della settimana scorsa<\/a> il bivio si era risolto al rialzo con la quinta settimana consecutiva di massimi e minimi crescenti.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Questa settimana l&#8217;S&amp;P 500 \u00e8 l&#8217;unico indice ad aver segnato un nuovo record storico sul massimo settimanale (7.517,12) e ad aver ritoccato di 9,56 punti anche il massimo di chiusura a 7.408,50. Vediamo cosa raccontano gli indicatori.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bulls vs Bears<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div id=\"attachment_2309\" style=\"width: 1348px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/infographic-SP500.webp\" data-lbwps-width=\"1338\" data-lbwps-height=\"588\" data-lbwps-srcsmall=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/infographic-SP500-300x132.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2309\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2309\" src=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/infographic-SP500.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1338\" height=\"588\" srcset=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/infographic-SP500.webp 1338w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/infographic-SP500-300x132.webp 300w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/infographic-SP500-1024x450.webp 1024w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/infographic-SP500-768x338.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1338px) 100vw, 1338px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-2309\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">infographic: FTSE MIB weekly &#8211; Bulls vs Bears<\/p><\/div>\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>I bulls vincono la settimana con un rapporto di 1,30:1 (201,77 contro 155,39). Rispetto alle settimane precedenti la vittoria \u00e8 risicata, una leggerissima perdita di forza del tutto normale dopo il recentissimo rally.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il Fear Indicator sale al 60%. Dopo settimane in zona di comfort, supera per la prima volta la zona di attenzione senza tuttavia entrare in zona di allarme.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Il Quadro Generale<\/h3>\r\n<div id=\"attachment_2304\" style=\"width: 1894px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500-weekly-2.webp\" data-lbwps-width=\"1884\" data-lbwps-height=\"892\" data-lbwps-srcsmall=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500-weekly-2-300x142.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2304\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2304\" src=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500-weekly-2.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1884\" height=\"892\" srcset=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500-weekly-2.webp 1884w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500-weekly-2-300x142.webp 300w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500-weekly-2-1024x485.webp 1024w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500-weekly-2-768x364.webp 768w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500-weekly-2-1536x727.webp 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1884px) 100vw, 1884px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-2304\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">chart: SP500 weekly<\/p><\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>Sesta settimana consecutiva con massimi e minimi crescenti, settima con close superiore all&#8217;open, quinta in overestensione sopra la MA5W.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nonostante la posizione Short del sistema sia ancora intatta, l&#8217;indice americano non ha dato alcun segnale di indebolimento della struttura bull. Il record di settimane positive consecutive \u00e8 9, realizzato in 2 occasioni negli ultimi 26 anni (4 volte 8 consecutive). Il record di settimane consecutive con close superiore all&#8217;open \u00e8 9, realizzato 4 volte negli ultimi 26 anni.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Questa settimana la MA10W ha effettuato il cross rialzista della MA20W. Tutte le medie mobili sono ora correttamente allineate e positivamente inclinate.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Volatility Indicator<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<div id=\"attachment_2303\" style=\"width: 1894px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Volatility-Indicator-SP500-weekly-1.webp\" data-lbwps-width=\"1884\" data-lbwps-height=\"892\" data-lbwps-srcsmall=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Volatility-Indicator-SP500-weekly-1-300x142.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2303\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2303\" src=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Volatility-Indicator-SP500-weekly-1.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1884\" height=\"892\" srcset=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Volatility-Indicator-SP500-weekly-1.webp 1884w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Volatility-Indicator-SP500-weekly-1-300x142.webp 300w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Volatility-Indicator-SP500-weekly-1-1024x485.webp 1024w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Volatility-Indicator-SP500-weekly-1-768x364.webp 768w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Volatility-Indicator-SP500-weekly-1-1536x727.webp 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1884px) 100vw, 1884px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-2303\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">chart: Volatility Indicator &#8211; SP500 weekly<\/p><\/div>\r\n<p>A 6,69%, terza settimana consecutiva in calo. Si trova ora sui valori medi di lungo periodo (MA50W).<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Range Weekly%<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div id=\"attachment_2302\" style=\"width: 1894px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Range-weekly-SP500-weekly.webp\" data-lbwps-width=\"1884\" data-lbwps-height=\"892\" data-lbwps-srcsmall=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Range-weekly-SP500-weekly-300x142.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2302\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2302\" src=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Range-weekly-SP500-weekly.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1884\" height=\"892\" srcset=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Range-weekly-SP500-weekly.webp 1884w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Range-weekly-SP500-weekly-300x142.webp 300w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Range-weekly-SP500-weekly-1024x485.webp 1024w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Range-weekly-SP500-weekly-768x364.webp 768w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Range-weekly-SP500-weekly-1536x727.webp 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1884px) 100vw, 1884px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-2302\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">chart: FTSE MIB &#8211; range % weekly<\/p><\/div>\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>Anche il range in calo, a 2,43%. Il calo simultaneo di volatilit\u00e0 e range, associato agli altri elementi presenti sull&#8217;S&amp;P 500, continua a favorire uno scenario di esaurimento del momentum, compatibile sia con una pausa correttiva sia con una struttura distributiva pi\u00f9 ampia.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">BCP3<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div id=\"attachment_2300\" style=\"width: 1894px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BCP3-SP500-weekly-1.webp\" data-lbwps-width=\"1884\" data-lbwps-height=\"892\" data-lbwps-srcsmall=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BCP3-SP500-weekly-1-300x142.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2300\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2300\" src=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BCP3-SP500-weekly-1.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1884\" height=\"892\" srcset=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BCP3-SP500-weekly-1.webp 1884w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BCP3-SP500-weekly-1-300x142.webp 300w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BCP3-SP500-weekly-1-1024x485.webp 1024w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BCP3-SP500-weekly-1-768x364.webp 768w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BCP3-SP500-weekly-1-1536x727.webp 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1884px) 100vw, 1884px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-2300\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">chart: BCP3- SP500 weekly<\/p><\/div>\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>Uncina in modo credibile a 9,12% questa settimana, a conferma di alte probabilit\u00e0 di correzione almeno di breve periodo.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Overextension MA200W<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div id=\"attachment_2301\" style=\"width: 1002px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Overextensions-MA200-SP500-1.webp\" data-lbwps-width=\"992\" data-lbwps-height=\"768\" data-lbwps-srcsmall=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Overextensions-MA200-SP500-1-300x232.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2301\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2301\" src=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Overextensions-MA200-SP500-1.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"992\" height=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Overextensions-MA200-SP500-1.webp 992w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Overextensions-MA200-SP500-1-300x232.webp 300w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Overextensions-MA200-SP500-1-768x595.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 992px) 100vw, 992px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-2301\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Table: S&amp;P 500 Overextension Cycles Above MA200W (1990-2026)<\/p><\/div>\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>Siamo alla settimana 187 e l&#8217;overestensione sulla MA200W ha toccato un nuovo massimo a +38,39%.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il massimo precedente, nell&#8217;ottobre 2025, aveva portato a tre settimane di discesa e a un arrotondamento sui massimi culminato poi con il ribasso di febbraio-marzo 2026. Non \u00e8 una garanzia che questo si ripeta, ma sono valori limite di questo movimento bull partito nell&#8217;ottobre 2022 che vale la pena considerare.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Negli ultimi 25 anni solo nel 2021 l&#8217;overestensione ha superato il 40% (post vaccino covid). Salvo shock esogeni, l&#8217;attesa \u00e8 che questi valori producano effetti simili, essendosi verificati all&#8217;interno dello stesso movimento bull.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusione<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La struttura tecnica resta chiaramente bull e, fino a prova contraria, \u00e8 il trend ad avere ragione.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Allo stesso tempo, il mercato si trova nuovamente in una zona statistica estrema: overestensione elevata, volatilit\u00e0 in compressione, range in contrazione e indicatori di eccesso che iniziano a ruotare.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Non \u00e8 ancora presente un segnale di inversione sul prezzo, ma il rapporto rischio\/rendimento per nuove esposizioni long continua a deteriorarsi settimana dopo settimana.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La posizione Short del sistema resta quindi invariata. Non per anticipare un top assoluto, ma perch\u00e9 in queste condizioni il mercato tende storicamente a preparare un movimento direzionale correttivo, pi\u00f9 che una prosecuzione ordinata del trend.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Come sempre, sar\u00e0 il mercato a decidere se questi estremi verranno riassorbiti lateralmente o attraverso una vera fase correttiva.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L&#8217;S&amp;P 500 torna Chart of the Week per la terza volta in cinque settimane. Nel COTW della settimana 18 il mercato era a un bivio con il sistema Short in perdita di circa 65 punti e l&#8217;overestensione sulla MA200W al 34,94%. Nel Charts Flash della settimana scorsa il bivio si era risolto al rialzo con [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2304,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[363],"tags":[366],"class_list":["post-2306","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chart-of-the-week-it","tag-sp500-it"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Chart of the week: S&amp;P500 index - RRTS Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"S&amp;P 500 nuovo record storico a 7.517,12 e nuovo massimo di chiusura a 7.408,50. Overestensione MA200W al 38,39%. 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