{"id":710,"date":"2026-01-25T16:51:32","date_gmt":"2026-01-25T15:51:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/?p=710"},"modified":"2026-03-08T12:10:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-08T11:10:33","slug":"sp500-analisi-settitmanale-w4-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/it\/sp500-analisi-settitmanale-w4-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart of the Week: S&P 500 Index"},"content":{"rendered":"

Appuntamento settimanale con i grafici pi\u00f9 seguito al mondo.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n

\r\n\r\n\r\n

L’S&P 500 \u00e8 finito sotto pressione all’inizio della settimana \u2014 il minimo settimanale ha segnato un calo del -2,2% rispetto alla chiusura della settimana precedente. Ma i tori sono tornati, e alla chiusura di venerd\u00ec a 6.915,61, la perdita settimanale \u00e8 stata solo del -0,42%.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Non \u00e8 successo niente? Vediamo cosa ci ha detto il mercato.<\/p>\r\n\r\n

<\/p>\r\n

\r\n\r\n\r\n

Il Quadro Generale<\/h2>\r\n
\"\"<\/a>

grafico: S&P500 settimanale<\/p><\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Tutte le medie mobili mostrano ancora inclinazione positiva e rimangono correttamente allineate una sotto l’altra, dalla pi\u00f9 veloce (MA5W) alla pi\u00f9 lenta (MA200W). I prezzi si trovano pochi punti sotto la MA5W \u2014 solo rumore, non un segnale di prezzo a breve termine.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n

\r\n\r\n\r\n

Il Framework: MA20W e MA200W<\/strong><\/p>\r\n

\"\"<\/a>

grafico: S&P500 chiusure con MA20W<\/p><\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Due settimane fa, ho proposto una teoria semplice: solo la MA20W conta come supporto di inversione. Puoi leggere l’analisi completa qui<\/a>.<\/p>\r\n\r\n

 <\/p>\r\n\r\n

Questa settimana l’ha confermato. La MA20W si trova a 6.754. Il mercato ha segnato il suo minimo a 6.789,05 \u2014 esattamente 35 punti sopra (+0,52%) \u2014 per poi rimbalzare quasi del +2%.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Abbiamo visto un comportamento identico a novembre: tocco sulla MA20W, rimbalzo immediato.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

La regola rimane semplice:<\/strong> sopra la MA20W, \u00e8 toro. Sotto la MA20W, \u00e8 orso \u2014 a meno che non si appiattisca e venga rotta senza movimento, ma per ora non \u00e8 questo il caso.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n

\r\n\r\n\r\n

Sovraestensione Rialzista sulla MA200W<\/strong><\/p>\r\n

\"\"<\/a>

Grafico: S&P 500 sovraestensioni sopra MA200W<\/p><\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Perch\u00e9 monitorare questo? Perch\u00e9 \u00e8 statisticamente rilevante, come mostrato nella nostra analisi precedente.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Due settimane fa, la lettura chiave era: “significa che probabilmente non vedremo strappi sensazionali al rialzo<\/em>.”<\/p>\r\n

\"\"<\/a>

Table: S&P 500 Overextension Cycles Above MA200W<\/p><\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

L’aggiornamento: l’S&P 500 \u00e8 ora a 171 settimane nel ciclo di overestensione corrente sopra la MA200W. Questa settimana l’estensione si \u00e8 ridotta leggermente a +33,74% \u2014 ancora storicamente estrema.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n

\r\n\r\n\r\n

Conclusioni<\/h2>\r\n
\"\"<\/a>

infografica: S&P500 Tori vs Orsi Settimanale<\/p><\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Da chiusura a chiusura, gli orsi hanno vinto la settimana (-0,42%). Ma da apertura a chiusura, hanno vinto i tori \u2014 la struttura della candela settimanale favorisce loro nonostante la perdita percentuale.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

La paura \u00e8 schizzata marted\u00ec mattina, poi \u00e8 evaporata. Tornati alla zona verde \u2014 quasi zero preoccupazione.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

I tori rimangono in controllo. Il mercato sta rispettando la MA20W. Gli orsi devono romperla per cambiare qualcosa.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Nessun segnale di inversione di prezzo ancora. La MA20W mantiene rialzista. La sovraestensione sulla MA200W rimane toppish. Questi sono gli unici punti dati che contano per questo framework.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Due settimane fa: occhio alla MA20W. Questa settimana: la MA20W ha funzionato. Il trend non \u00e8 cambiato.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Appuntamento settimanale con i grafici pi\u00f9 seguito al mondo. L’S&P 500 \u00e8 finito sotto pressione all’inizio della settimana \u2014 il minimo settimanale ha segnato un calo del -2,2% rispetto alla chiusura della settimana precedente. Ma i tori sono tornati, e alla chiusura di venerd\u00ec a 6.915,61, la perdita settimanale \u00e8 stata solo del -0,42%. Non […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":702,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[363],"tags":[638,654,646,644,642,640,636,366,650,652,648],"class_list":["post-710","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chart-of-the-week-it","tag-analisi-tecnica-sp-500","tag-indice-azionario-usa","tag-ma200w","tag-ma20w","tag-medie-mobili-sp-500","tag-previsioni-sp-500","tag-sp-500-oggi","tag-sp500-it","tag-supporti-e-resistenze-sp-500","tag-trading-sp-500","tag-trend-sp-500"],"yoast_head":"\nChart of the Week: S&P 500 Index - RRTS Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Analisi tecnica S&P 500: la MA20W conferma il supporto a 6.754. Trend rialzista intatto nonostante sovraestensione MA200W. 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