{"id":907,"date":"2026-02-01T19:26:49","date_gmt":"2026-02-01T18:26:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/?p=907"},"modified":"2026-02-05T16:41:30","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T15:41:30","slug":"bitcoin-weekly-chart-technical-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/bitcoin-weekly-chart-technical-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Charts Flash \u2013 WEEK 5\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n

Quick observations on charts that caught our attention this week.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n

\r\n\r\n\r\n

This week’s flash is a follow-up to last week’s Bitcoin analysis. The parallel with 2022 wasn’t just a parallel \u2014 it played out.<\/p>\r\n\r\n

<\/p>\r\n\r\n

This isn’t meant to be a full analysis \u2014 just food for thought on a few charts that caught my attention this week.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n

\r\n\r\n\r\n

\u26a1 BITCOIN<\/h3>\r\n

\r\n\r\n<\/p>\r\n

\"\"<\/a>

chart: Bitcoin (BTC) weekly chart<\/p><\/div>\r\n

If you read last week’s edition, you know what I was watching: the MA100W (purple), and the $89,000 level that K33 Research (cited by Bloomberg) identified as the average cost basis for US spot Bitcoin ETF holders.<\/p>\r\n

The setup was a textbook repeat of early 2022 \u2014 break of the MA50W, hold at the MA100W, lingering for weeks.<\/p>\r\n

I said if the MA100W gave way, bears would jump on the bulls’ backs, and that breaking $89,000 could trigger panic selling. \u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

 <\/p>\r\n

Both things happened.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

 <\/p>\r\n

The MA100W broke.<\/p>\r\n

Price crashed through $89,000 and the ETF outflows confirmed it \u2014 largest daily net outflow since November. The capitulation among spot ETF holders was real.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

 <\/p>\r\n

So where does Bitcoin go from here? <\/strong> \u00a0 On the weekly chart, the next meaningful level is around $74,000<\/strong>. That’s where the March 2024 high and the April 2024 low converge \u2014 a structural level, not a round number.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

 <\/p>\r\n

The oscillators on the weekly are not oversold. This matters.<\/p>\r\n

It means the breakdown has room, and any hold at $74,000 could last for a while \u2014 but it wouldn’t necessarily be a reversal. It would be a pause.<\/p>\r\n

Because the real call is further down. In 2022, once the MA100W broke, price didn’t stop until it found the MA200W.<\/p>\r\n

Ours is now around $58,000.<\/strong> It’s far. It looks extreme right now. But the structure says it’s there, and if $74,000 gives way, that’s where this market is headed.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

\r\n

Soon only members will access this content<\/strong>. Subscribe free.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\r\n<\/div><\/div>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Quick observations on charts that caught our attention this week. This week’s flash is a follow-up to last week’s Bitcoin analysis. The parallel with 2022 wasn’t just a parallel \u2014 it played out.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":914,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[676],"tags":[830,27,855,863,43,472,672,859,857,861,10,71],"class_list":["post-907","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-charts-flash","tag-bear-market","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-capitulation","tag-crypto","tag-ma100w","tag-ma200w-en","tag-market-breakdown","tag-spot-bitcoin-etf","tag-support-levels","tag-technical-analysis","tag-weekly-chart"],"yoast_head":"\nCharts Flash \u2013 WEEK 5\/2026 - RRTS Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin broke the MA100W and crashed through $89,000 \u2014 mirroring the 2022 structure. 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