{"id":951,"date":"2026-02-04T12:49:01","date_gmt":"2026-02-04T11:49:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/?p=951"},"modified":"2026-02-26T18:07:03","modified_gmt":"2026-02-26T17:07:03","slug":"japanese-candlesticks-bearish-engulfing-pattern-spotted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/japanese-candlesticks-bearish-engulfing-pattern-spotted\/","title":{"rendered":"Pattern Spotted: Bearish Engulfing"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><small>Pattern Spotted is our format where we analyze patterns and configurations as they appear in the markets. This week we discuss the <strong>Bearish Engulfing<\/strong> on Brent and Nikkei.<\/small><\/em><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">The Bearish Engulfing has always fascinated me, and many others, for its immediacy.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div id=\"attachment_934\" style=\"width: 644px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/bearish-engulfing.png\" data-lbwps-width=\"634\" data-lbwps-height=\"373\" data-lbwps-srcsmall=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/bearish-engulfing-300x176.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-934\" class=\"size-full wp-image-934\" src=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/bearish-engulfing.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"634\" height=\"373\" srcset=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/bearish-engulfing.png 634w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/bearish-engulfing-300x176.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 634px) 100vw, 634px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-934\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">chart: Japanese Candelsticks Pattern &#8211; Bearish Engulfing<\/p><\/div>\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">The reason is simple: it communicates something clear-cut.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">Unlike the doji of a potential Evening Star or the long shadow of a Shooting Star, there&#8217;s no interpretive ambiguity here.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">The trader sees the switch between bulls and bears.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">It&#8217;s not a shadow \u2014 even a very long one \u2014 that could still accompany a positive close. It&#8217;s a decisive turn on the timeframe we&#8217;re observing.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">The trend is bull. Bulls are dominating. After a new bullish session at the highs (with close &gt; open), they open even higher the next candle.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">Then something jams. Bulls can&#8217;t push further, profit-taking begins, and the bears exploit the swing to strike.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">Not only does it close negative, but it erases the previous candle. It closes below C1&#8217;s open.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">The beginner&#8217;s voice would say: it must be an almost infallible signal, because it speaks clearly and loudly.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">That&#8217;s not quite the case. Let&#8217;s see why.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Brent 2018: Three Eloquent Cases<\/h3>\r\n<div id=\"attachment_954\" style=\"width: 1898px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-1.png\" data-lbwps-width=\"1888\" data-lbwps-height=\"894\" data-lbwps-srcsmall=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-1-300x142.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-954\" class=\"size-full wp-image-954\" src=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1888\" height=\"894\" srcset=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-1.png 1888w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-1-300x142.png 300w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-1-1024x485.png 1024w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-1-768x364.png 768w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-1-1536x727.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1888px) 100vw, 1888px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-954\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">chart: Bren weekly &#8211; Bearish Engulfing<\/p><\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">The Brent weekly chart in 2018 shows us three emblematic situations.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\"><strong>February.<\/strong> There&#8217;s an uptrend, the bearish candle engulfing the bullish one isn&#8217;t huge \u2014 it meets the conditions borderline, but it meets them. The problem comes with confirmation: the break of C2&#8217;s low rests on the MA20W (orange). This is the entry point. From there, price only rises, sending us to stop loss and continuing its climb until another Bearish Engulfing situation.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\"><strong>May.<\/strong> My favorite setup. There&#8217;s a top on C1 that already retraces \u2014 bulls have lightened up or bears have shown they&#8217;re present. The next candle, bulls try again but get rejected below the low of the candle that marked the top. It&#8217;s already a de facto reversal. Yet it takes another three weeks to close below C2&#8217;s low. This loss of momentum is already a red flag, but the pattern confirmation gives confidence.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">Oil doesn&#8217;t accelerate downward. Instead, it starts rising again, approaching the stop zone. Momentum is gone.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">What does the manual say?<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">Do nothing. Stop loss when hit, or go to profit.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">I have a different approach: I entered on a momentum signal, I accepted three weeks to get confirmation \u2014 I can&#8217;t accept another four weeks to see profit again. If I do, it means I&#8217;m trading something different.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">But let&#8217;s stick to the manual: after fifteen weeks it hits stop loss. Exactly one week before making a new top where another Bearish Engulfing occurs.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\"><strong>October.<\/strong> Very similar to the previous one: C1 with retracement from the top, C2 engulfing C1 and this time plunging deeper. Confirmation comes after two weeks and brings a winning trade, without suffering.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What This Case Tells Us<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">Something we often find with Bearish Engulfing, across all timeframes and all markets.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\r\n<li>If C2 engulfing C1 isn&#8217;t very extended, an extended confirmation will probably arrive that risks burning our trade. This is one of the reasons many traders use the pattern without confirmation.<\/li>\r\n<li>If confirmation arrives and momentum fades, it&#8217;s better to abandon the trade at breakeven.<\/li>\r\n<li>If C2 goes well below C1&#8217;s open, it&#8217;s the best setup. It seems counterintuitive \u2014 you feel like you&#8217;re missing a slice of the decline \u2014 but it&#8217;s a momentum accelerator. The price to pay for a higher quality signal.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Market Map<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\"><em>Speaking of daily and weekly timeframes, on which markets does it work reasonably well?<\/em><\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">EUROSTOXX50, DAX, GOLD \u2014 but with two additional conditions: C2 must go well below the open, even better if below the low, and you shouldn&#8217;t wait for confirmation.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">With this setup, the best results in terms of equity line are on the Nikkei. A deviation from the manuals, but it works.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\"><em>Where is there less advantage?<\/em><\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">With classic parameters it&#8217;s frustrating on EUR\/USD. It alternates terrible and excellent results on Silver. On Bitcoin it rarely occurs on the weekly, while on the daily it more often identifies a consolidation pause than a true reversal.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nikkei: The Virtuous Case<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div id=\"attachment_953\" style=\"width: 1898px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing.png\" data-lbwps-width=\"1888\" data-lbwps-height=\"894\" data-lbwps-srcsmall=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-300x142.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-953\" class=\"wp-image-953 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1888\" height=\"894\" srcset=\"https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing.png 1888w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-300x142.png 300w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-1024x485.png 1024w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-768x364.png 768w, https:\/\/round-robin.eu\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/brent-brearish-engulfing-1536x727.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1888px) 100vw, 1888px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-953\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">chart: Nikkei 225 weekly chart &#8211; Bearish Engulfing<\/p><\/div>\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">Looking at the Japanese index chart from 2018 to today, the pattern works excellently \u2014 always with the deviation of not waiting for confirmation.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">The win\/loss ratio is 66% (4 wins, 2 losses). But that&#8217;s not all: alongside reduced losses, the pattern has identified 2 crashes and 2 medium-term downtrends. The second less steep, but it always maintained direction.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00a0<\/h3>\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">The Bearish Engulfing is a nice pattern, easily identifiable. It has logical reasoning behind it. But it comes with flaws at the trading level, if we strictly adhere to the manual.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">Flaws that statistics help remedy \u2014 by not waiting for confirmation.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">The risk? Executing some trades on a Bearish Engulfing that won&#8217;t be reported in the manuals.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">But that will allow capturing a portion of profit that would otherwise be lost. All things considered, in terms of equity line, this approach is worthwhile.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">How to use it?<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">I know, it&#8217;s not what the manual says, but\u2026 <strong>on its own<\/strong>.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">Because it often appears when prices are overextended on moving averages, or when the first moving average that could signal a reversal is too far away. Rarely, when this configuration appears \u2014 particularly on weekly timeframes \u2014 do other oscillators accompany it.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">Verify it yourself: on your charts, on the assets you follow, apply the manual settings and apply the ones I&#8217;ve suggested. Does it improve?<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\">Even if it doesn&#8217;t improve on your market, from today you have one more reason to watch the Nikkei.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pattern Spotted is our format where we analyze patterns and configurations as they appear in the markets. This week we discuss the Bearish Engulfing on Brent and Nikkei.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":953,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[378],"tags":[880,59,588,565,892,35,596,10,524,882],"class_list":["post-951","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pattern-decoded","tag-bearish-engulfing","tag-brent","tag-candlestick-pattern","tag-japanese-candlesticks","tag-momentum","tag-nikkei","tag-pattern-spotted","tag-technical-analysis","tag-trading-en","tag-trend-reversal"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pattern Spotted: Bearish Engulfing - RRTS Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Does the Bearish Engulfing really work? 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